Tonights NHL Picks- March 5 2014

Tonights NHL Picks- March 5 2014

We hit a huge underdog winner on the Avalanche to defeat the Blackhawks last night which they did by a score of 4-2. We picked up 3.10 units with that one, but unfortunately our play on the OTT/EDM over was just one goal shy of going over the total, while the Canucks lost by a score of 1-0 making our system pick a loser as well. A 1-2 night with a small loss of 0.9 units.

It’s a big day in the NHL today as the trade deadline is here. There has already been one shocking trade made last night, which includes Vancouver trading Luongo (and forward Steven Anthony) to the Florida Panthers in exchange goaltender Jason Markstrom (1-6-3 on the season, .875 SV%, 3.52 GAA) and also forward Shawn Matthias. Roberto was traded to Vancouver by Florida back in 2006.

There’s four games scheduled for tonight and we have a nice underdog selection:

Washington Capitals @ Philadelphia Flyers: CAPITALS 2.26

We are likely receiving such a great price here because these two clubs met on Sunday and the Flyers came back from a 4-2 deficit to win the game in over time. The betting public loves to assume that because the Flyers won on Sunday they will win again tonight. These two clubs have met four times this season, splitting the decisions. The Capitals started the season series with a bang, defeating the Flyers 7-0 (as huge underdogs) back on November 1st, and also one the next meeting. Philadelphia has won the two most recent meetings. The Flyers continue to take the most penalties of any team in the League with an average of 15.3 penalty minutes per game, and gave the Capitals 6 power play opportunities on Sunday. Luckily for the Flyers, the Capitals weren’t able to score on any of them. Interestingly enough, the Capitals have the 2nd best power play in the NHL (22.1%: the Penguins lead the League with 24.9%) while the Flyers penalty kill ranks 8th overall at 84.2%. The Capitals power play numbers have been slightly better when playing on the road, as they have gone 22.5% on the power play when playing Away, while the Flyers are 83.8% on the penalty kill when playing at the Wells Fargo Center. The Capitals gave the Flyers 4 power plays on Sunday, the Flyers capitalized on 50% of those. The Washington offense is ranked 9th overall with 2.84 goals per game, while the Flyers offense sits in the 14th place spot with 2.76 goals per game. The Capitals offense has been surging as of late, scoring an average of 3.60 goals per game over their last 10 games, while scoring has also increased for the Flyers, with 3.30 G/G over their last 10 games. The Flyers are currently in the 2nd place spot in the Metropolitan division with 70 points, while the Capitals own the 5th place spot with 68 points. A regulation time win for the Capitals tonight will make them tied in points with Philadelphia, (however the Flyers would win in a tie breaker situation as they have more wins than the Capitals) so if the Capitals want to reach that coveted third place spot they will want to secure this win against Philadelphia tonight (remember there is a new playofff format featuring “wild cards”). Braden Holtby is probable for Washington with a record of 19-13-3, a 2.94 GAA (35th) and a .911 SV% (28th). Steve Mason is the probable starter for the Flyers and is 25-15-15 season-to-date with a 2.57 GAA (23rd) and a .915 SV% (21st). These clubs are pretty close to even strength in offense, defense, special teams, and even goaltending. This game should be another entertaining one and should be a great battle from these two clubs; we’ll take this generous price on the Capitals tonight.

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