Tonights NHL Picks December 20th 2014

The league-leading Ducks took a 6-2 beating by the Senators. Bryzgalov finished with a .806 SV% allowing 6 goals on 31 shots.
Two picks for Saturday, one is a 3 unit system pick on a total.
Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs: OVER 6 Goals 2.00
Risk: 2 Units | Win: 2 Units
The Maple Leafs lost their last outing against Carolina 4-1, snapping their 6 game winning streak. The Leafs scored 25 goals in those 6 games, an average of 4.16 goals per game. Toronto is the highest scoring team in the NHL with 3.38 goals per game, and also lead the league in scoring at home with 3.61 goals per game when playing at home. The Leafs have scored 3.80 goals per game over their last 10 games, and won 8 of those 10 games. Steve Mason didn’t travel with the Flyers after sustaining an injury in practice on Friday. We are likely going to see Emery in goal against the Leafs on Saturday. Emery is 5-4-1 on the season with a 3.05 GAA and a .899 SV% and has a 3.08 GAA and a .905 SV% in his 12 career games versus the Leafs. Both the Leafs and Flyers are allowing 2.81 goals against per game overall, and the Flyers allow 3.20 goals against per game played on the road. The Leafs have had 6 of their past 10 games go over the total, 3 of the 4 that didn’t go over ended with 5 goal totals so they were close. The Flyers have a strong power play unit, ranked 5h overall at 24.0%, while the Leafs are 20.5% on the man advantage overall, and are 25% over their last 10 games, and they have scored a power play goal in 7 of their last 8 games at home. The Flyers have the second worst penalty kill in the NHL at 75.5%, and the Flyers penalty kill unit is successful just 67.3% of the time when playing on the road. The Maple Leafs lead the league in scoring and will be looking to get back into the win column against Philadelphia after losing to Carolina on Thursday. Eight of the past ten meetings between Toronto and Philadelphia have gone over the total, which includes each of the last two meetings which occurred in March last season. The Flyers are without Mason and face the highest scoring team in the NHL, we should see lots of scoring in this one.
System Picks (Members Only)
(3 Units) St. Louis Blues @ San Jose Sharks: OVER 5 Goals 1.79
Risk: 3 Units | Win: 2.37 Units