October 24th 2013 Free NHL Picks

The Bruins dominated the Sabres last night and cashed our 3-unit Regulation Time pick on the Bruins. Unfortunately the total went a little over 5 goals, but we still had a profitable night as our WINNER was a 3-unit pick. We’ve got 3 picks for tonight:
Anaheim Ducks @ Montreal Canadiens : Over 5.5 Goals 2.08

The Montreal Canadiens will be back at it tonight after giving up a 2-0 1st period lead against the Oilers on Tuesday night, allowing two goals in the second period, and two more in the third, for a final score of 4-3 with Edmonton coming out on top. Since the 2012/13 season, The Candiens have allowed 68 goals in the second period alone. In the other two periods COMBINED (1st & 3rd), the Candiens have allowed 74 goals. That’s an average of 37 goals allowed in the 1st period, 68 in the 2nd and 37 again in the 3rd. What is up with the Candiens dropping the ball in the second period? Both of these teams manage to score an average of 3 or more goals per game, with the Candiens at 3.22 G/G and the Ducks at 3.44 G/G. The Candiens have a 24.3% success rate on the powerplay (6th in the league for PP%), and they face a Ducks Penalty Kill who isn’t doing very good at all, at 77.4%, which ranks 24th for PK% in the entire league (6th worst). Hopefully the Candiens can capitalize on a few powerplay opportunities to rack up a few goals. The last outing for the Ducks was on Tuesday against Toronto,  where they could only score 2 goals but the total for the game was 6 goals. The Ducks didn’t take many shots that game (25 shots) which is 11.2 shots lower than their average of 36.2 shots/game. They also allowed the Leafs to score on 1 of 3 powerplay opportunities. The Leafs didn’t take many shots that game either, at only 23 shots. Jonas Hiller allowed 4 goals on 23 shots that game for a .826 SV%, and he is the probable starter for tonight, as Viktor Fasth is injured. The Candiens average 32.6 shots/game. If they can get a lot of shots on goal, they should be able to get a few past Hiller. Lets try our luck with the OVER tonight in Montreal for plus money.

San Jose Sharks @ Boston Bruins: Sharks 1.97

We will gladly take the San Jose Sharks as underdogs this evening. The Boston Bruins are coming off of a victory last night and are playing on 0 days rest. The last game for the Sharks was Monday against Detroit where they won 1-0. This was the lowest scoring game for the Sharks this season: they have scored at least 3 goals in every game except their meeting with Detroit (they have scored as many as nine goals in one game). The Sharks average more than 4 goals per game (4.33 G/G) and have lost only one game this season, in overtime against the Dallas Stars where they lost 4-3. Their record is currently 8-0-1. The Sharks also get plenty of shots on goal, and actually lead the league in shots, at 38.8 S/G. Goaltender Antti Niemi also leads the league in WINS, at 8 wins, and he is confirmed to start tonight for the Sharks. The Bruins average 32.9 shots/game which is less than the Sharks. Also note that the Sharks winning percentage when out shooting their opponents is .889 OS% which is second in the league, behind the Maple Leafs. The Bruins offense manage to score 3.12 G/G which is good but it is less than the Sharks. Both teams allow less than two goals against/game, with the Sharks at 1.67 GA/G and the Bruins slightly ahead at 1.50 GA/G. When it comes to Special Teams, the Sharks dominate the Bruins on the Powerplay, at 23.4 PP%, compared to the Bruins PP% of 13.3%. The Penalty Kill% for these two squads is almost the same, at 86.2 Pk% Sharks, and 87.0% Bruins. When it comes to penalties, the Bruins (15.2 PIM/G) are taking a few more penalties than the Sharks (11.8 PIM/G).

Calgary Flames @ Dallas Stars: Over 5.5 Goals 1.92

The 4-3-2 Calgary Flames will meet the 3-5-0 Dallas Stars tonight in Dallas. The Stars have gone 2-1 at home, and the Flames are 2-3-1 Away from home. The Flames are doing great on the offense, scoring over 3 goals per game (3.11 G/G). The Flames feature one of the top 5 NHL Point Leaders Jiri Hudler, who has 4 goals and 8 assists for the Flames (12 points). Even though the Flames are scoring lots of goals, they allow more goals per game than they can score (3.44 GA/G). Karri Ramo will get the nod tonight in goal for the Flames (confirmed), and he has gone 1-1-1 this season, with a 3.61 GAA and a .893 SV%. His GAA is right around the same as the Flames team as a whole. The Dallas Stars have a slightly different situation, as they allow lots of goals, but don’t quite score as many. They should however be able to get a few goals on the scoreboard tonight as they face the Flames who allow an average of more than 3 goals. The Stars as a team have 3.50 GA/G, and they are averaging more than 2 goals-for per game at 2.38 G/G. The Stars have proven they have what it takes though, as they defeated the San Jose Sharks (the only team to defeat the Sharks thus far) by a score of 4-3 in a shootout, managing to score 4 goals against the RED HOT Sharks. We will stick with the OVER tonight in Dallas, as long as both teams show up offensively, there shouldn’t be a problem cashing this one.

 

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