October 23rd 2013 Free NHL Picks

The Montreal Canadiens blew a 2-0 lead last night, allowing the Oilers to tie the game in the 2nd period, and  score two more goals in the 3rd, making the game 4-2. The Canadiens then scored another goal making it 4-3, but couldn’t win the game in regulation for us. The Islanders and Canucks game went to overtime, where the Islanders lost the game in the first 2 minutes on a rush by the Canucks. The Blue Jackets had no problem defeating the Devils, making it a 1-2 night for us. Moving onto today we have 2 picks in 1 game:

Boston Bruins @ Buffalo Sabres: (3 Units) Bruins In Regulation 1.90 & (2 units) Under 5 Goals 2.00

These are two separate picks for the same game. This is not a parlay. We are looking for the Bruins to win in 60 minutes (for 3 units), and the total goals for the game to be UNDER 5 Goals (our usual 2 units).

The Buffalo Sabres have won once in 10 games. They are averaging only 1.20 Goals For per game, and allow more than double that number, at 2.80 GA/G. Both teams are lacking on the Powerplay, with the Bruins at 11.5% on the PP, and the Sabres at only 8.6%. Tukka Rask is doing great in goal for the Bruins, as he has allowed only 9 goals on 194 Shots Against for a GAA of 1.29 and a 954 SV%. The Bruins Goals Against  Average as a team is only slightly higher, at 1.43 GA/G, which is still an incredible number. The Buffalo Sabres simply can’t score goals and they face a rock solid Bruins defense, Penalty Kill, and also Tukka Rask (probable starter). The Bruins PK unit is killing 90% of their penalties successfully. 90% is a great number especially since the Sabres can only convert on 8.6% of their powerplays. If the Sabres do get a few powerplays, they are not likely going to be able to score on any of them. The Boston Bruins, currently 5-2-0 have gone a perfect 3-0 away from home. The Buffalo Sabres have lost all 6 games at home, with one of them being an OT Loss (0-5-1). Every single game for the Boston Bruins this season has at least tied 5 goals or has gone under 5 goals. We have Ryan Miller as the probable starter for the Sabres. Miller has a .926SV% but has gone 1-6-0 thanks to his team not being able to score goals. He has done a great job of keeping most of the Sabres’ games within reach, but if your offense can’t score you just won’t win hockey games. He has faced 257 shots this season, which is an average of 36.71 shots against per game, and he still manages to maintain a .926 SV%.  Only two of ten Buffalo Sabres games have gone over the 5 goal total, eight games have seen totals of 5 goals or less. We are receiving great odds on both of these selections tonight, as the Bruins should easily be able to take this game from the Sabres in regulation time, as long as they don’t let their guard down . This game should also stay under the 5 goal total.

 

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