November 7th 2013 Free NHL Picks

Edmonton Oilers @ Tampa Bay Lightning: Lightning in Regulation 1.89

The Tampa Bay Lightning are 10-4 on the season and have gone 6-2 at home. In their latest outing against the St.Louis Blues the Lightning won 4-2. That win over the Blues made the 2nd straight win in a row for the lightning and they look for their third straight win tonight. The Oilers finally snapped a five game losing streak with theirĀ  4-3 overtime win against the Florida Panthers. The goaltender for the Edmonton Oilers with the best GAA and save percentage will be out tonight (Richard Bachman 3.02 GAA .916 SV%). This leaves either Devan Dubnyk (3-5-1, 3.87 GAA, 8.77 SV%) or Jason LaBarbera (1-3-0, 3.69 GAA .858 SV%). As you can see, neither goaltender is doing well at all. They will have to face a Tampa Bay Offense that can score 3.21 G/G. The Edmonton Oilers team has the WORST goals against in the league, allowing 3.81 GA/G. In their five straight losses before their win against Florida, the Oilers managed only 9 goals in 5 games. In two of those five games the Oilers were scoreless, and in the other two they scored 4 goals, in one game they scored 1 goal. Although the Oilers offense manages 2.44 goals per game, 9 goals in 5 games is an average of only 1.80 G/G in the Oilers last 5 games. Look for the Lightning to take this one in 60 minutes tonight.
Montreal Canadiens @ Ottawa Senators: Canadiens 2.00

The Canadiens loss to the St.Louis Blues in a shootout on Tuesday marked the third straight loss for the Habs. Two of those three losses were by just one goal. The Canadiens goals per game have dropped to 2.69 but they are still doing a good job stopping goals, with an average of 2.06 GA/G. The Senators are averaging 3.07 G/G but they also allow 3.00 GA/G. The Canadiens are 8-7-1 on the season and have gone 4-3 away from home. The Senators are 5-6-4 on the season and are just 1-3-2 at home. One third (5/15) of the Senators games this season have needed extra time, and they have lost 4/5 of those. The lone OT victory came against Phoenix. These two teams share a similar PK%, the Habs are slightly ahead at 86.2 PK% compared to the Sens who are 85.5%. The Canadiens are doing much better than the Senators on the power play, at 23.7% (5th in League) compared to the Senators who are just 17.8 % (18th). Both teams have had one day rest since their last outing. Note that on one day rest the Habs are 4-2-0-0 and the Senators are 3-4-0-1. When on one day rest the Habs goals against average drops down to only 1.50 GA, and the Senators allow 3.50 GA. Carey Price is the confirmed starter tonight for the Habs. He has gone 6-6-1 this season with a 2.16 GAA and a .933 SV%. Craig Anderson is out for the Senators (sore neck) so Robin Lehner is the probable starter with a 2.38 GAA and a .943 SV%. This match up is pretty close to even, but we will stick with the Habs at an even money price tonight and look for them to snap their losing streak in Ottawa.
New York Islanders @ Carolina Hurricanes : Islanders 1.90

The Islanders can score 3.00 G/G and the Hurricanes are struggling to reach an average of two goals per game (1.93 G/G). The Hurricanes are without their starter and their backup, as both are injured. The Hurricanes currently allow 2.87 GA/G but are without their two best goalies. They are stuck in a situation where they can’t score and can’t stop goals either. Justin Peters is probable tonight for the Canes. In 6 games played he has won only one contest (1-5-0), has a 3.05 GAA and a .902 SV%. The Hurricanes are also lacking on the power play, converting only 14.3% of the time (22nd or 8th worst in league). The Islanders have a 19.6 PP% which is currently 12th in the League. Carolina won their last outing against the Flyers, but managed to score only two goals. The game went to overtime where the Canes came out on top. Before their victory against the Flyers, the Canes were on a five game losing streak. The Hurricanes have managed only six goals in their last five games (average of only 1.2 goals per game). We have seen the Islanders beat the Boston Bruins (3-1), Pittsburgh Penguins (4-3), and Phoenix Coyotes(6-1). The Islanders allow too many goals at 3.20 GA/G but they are facing a team tonight that has a hard time finding the back of the net. We will stick with the Islanders tonight.

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