January 30th 2014 Expert NHL Picks

January 30th 2014 Expert NHL Picks

We couldn’t get a winner last night as the outdoor game stayed under the total despite several scoring opportunities for both clubs. We have two picks for tonight:

Pittsburgh Penguins @ LA Kings: UNDER 5 Goals 2.06

The LA Kings defense remains the best in the NHL, as they are allowing just 2.04 goals against per game. The LA offense is one of the worst in the League right now; the Kings have scored 1 goal or less in four straight games, and have put just 1.50 goals per game on the board over their last 10 games, which is fewer goals than the last place Sabres offense is scoring (1.83 goals per game). The Kings were held scoreless in 2 of their last 3 games, and have had their last 4 games stay under the total. The last 2 games for the Penguins have managed to stay under the total, with the Penguins adding another win to the board with a 3-0 victory over Buffalo on Monday, two days after they were shut-out 3-0 by the Dallas Stars. The Pittsburgh defense ranks 9th overall with 2.42 GA/G. Both clubs have good penalty kill numbers over their last 10 games, while the respective power plays are suffering. The Kings have gone 86.1% on the penalty kill over their last 10 games, while scoring on just 9.5% of their power play opportunities (scored on just 3 of their last 38 power play opportunities), while the Penguins are a solid 84.4% on the penalty kill over their last 10 games, and have gone 16.7% on the power play. Marc-Andre Fleury is probable for Pittsburgh with his record of 29-12-1, 11th place goals against average (2.26 GAA), and the Leagues 14th best save percentage (.917 SV%). Fleury received a shut-out in his last start against Buffalo saving all 24 shots against him. Jonathan Quick is probable for LA and is 15-10-2 on the season with a 2.05 GAA (5th) and a .917 SV% (14th). The Kings are having a hard time scoring, while they continue to allow the fewest goals of any team in the NHL. This one should stay under the total and we will take it for a plus-money price.

Minnesota Wild @ Colorado Avalanche: WILD 2.40

There’s great value on the Wild here at this price. The Wild have had to face three of five of the NHL’s best teams in a row, and did pretty good for themselves, considering they won 2 of 3 games; a 4-2 win over Anaheim (Jan.28), a 2-3 loss to San Jose in overtime (Jan 25), and a 2-1 win against Chicago (Jan 23). The Avalanche managed a 4-3 win over Dallas on Monday, however two days prior they lost to the Tampa Bay Lightning by a score of 5-2. The Avalanche also lost by a score of 5-2 against the Toronto Maple Leafs on January 21st. The Minnesota Wild have the 7th best defense in the NHL, allowing just 2.38 goals against per game, and have allowed only 2.10 goals against per game across their last 10 games. The Avalanche defense are allowing more goals than usual, 2.90 goals against per game over their last 10 games, and have allowed 19 goals in their last 5 games, an average of 3.80 goals against per game. The Avalanche have the Wild beat on the special teams, as the Avs are 19.3% on the power play (12th) and 81.8% on the penalty kill (15th), while the Wild are 17.4% on the power play (20th) and are just 79.3% on the penalty kill (26th). Darcy Kuemper is probable for Minnesota and has done a great job in Hardings absence, winning 3 of his last 5 starts, and has a record of 6-3-1 with a 2.26 GAA and a .924 SV%. Semyon Varlamov is listed as probable for the Avalanche and is 26-9-5 on the season. Varlamov has the Leagues 8th best save percentage (.925) and a 2.43 GAA (15th). If the Wild are careful not to take many penalties, they have a great shot at winning this one, as their defense has been solid, accompanied by solid goaltending. At this price they provide exceptional value for bettors.

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