January 18 2014 Expert NHL Picks

January 18 2014 Expert NHL Picks

The Ducks couldn’t make it past the Blackhawks spoiling our only play on Friday. We have two picks going for Saturday, take note that the first game starts at 2:00 PM Eastern!

Edmonton Oilers @ Winnipeg Jets: OVER 6 Goals 2.06

Note: 2:00 PM ET Start!

The Edmonton Oilers continue to struggle on defense, as they are still allowing the most goals against per game of any team in the NHL, 3.52 goals against per game overall. The Oilers have had 9 of their last 10 games go over the total, and they have allowed 4.20 goals against per game over those 10 games. The Edmonton penalty kill unit also continues to struggle as they have gone just 73.4% over their last 10 games, and are going 80% overall (21st). The Oilers offense is ranked 18th overall with 2.54 goals per game, however their offense has slightly improved recently as they have scored an average of 2.60 goals per game over their last 10 games. The Winnipeg Jets have had 5 games in a row go over the total, with 39 total goals in those 5 games, an average of 7.8 total goals per game. The Jets are scoring 2.71 goals per game overall (14th) however their scoring has dramatically increased over their last 10 games as they have scored 3.50 goals per game, which puts them right on par with the highest scoring teams in the League. The problem with the Jets is that their defense has been sacrificed for offense, as the Jets have allowed 3.20 goals against per game over their last 10 games. Overall, the Winnipeg defense allows 2.94 goals against per game, currently 22nd for goals against. The Jets are also scoring and allowing lots of goals when playing at Home, 3.04 goals per game and the same number of goals against per game when playing at the MTS Centre. The Oilers have confirmed Ilya Bryzgalov as the starting goalie against Winnipeg. Bryz has a record of 3-7-2 and has a 3.27 GAA and a .902 SV% and has allowed 3 or more goals against in his last 6 starts, and 4 goals against in each of his last 2 starts. Ondrej Pavelec is probable for Winnipeg and also has a losing record of 13-19-4, a 3.05 GAA (42nd) and a .899 SV% (42nd). Neither team offers much of a defense (one of them is the worst in the NHL) and are accompanied by less than stellar goalies. We will take the OVER in Winnipeg Saturday afternoon.

Calgary Flames @ Vancouver Canucks: UNDER 5 Goals 2.11

The Flames and Canucks are facing tough times right now, as neither team has been able to score more than 2 goals per game on average over their last 10 games. The Calgary Flames have scored just 1.20 goals per game over their last 10 games, which includes 4 games in which they couldn’t put a single goal on the board. The Canucks are also struggling on offense, as they have scored just 1.80 goals per game over their last 10 games. The Canucks have scored 2 goals or less in 7 of their last 10 games, the Vancouver offense was left scoreless in 2 of those games. The Calgary offense is now the 2nd worst in the League scoring just 2.17 goals per game, while the Vancouver offense is ranked 20th overall with 2.49 goals per game. When playing at Home the Canucks allow just 2.04 goals against per game, while the Flames are only able to score 2.29 goals per game when playing on the Road. The Canucks have the 3rd best penalty kill in the NHL (was the best until they allowed 6 power play goals against Anaheim) at 86.4%, and the Canucks penalty kill is an impressive 90.3% when playing at Home, while the Flames power play is the 4th worst in the NHL at just 13.5%, and has been successful only 9.1% of the time across their last 10 games, and just 12.0% when playing on the road this season. The Canucks have been taking lots of penalties lately, so the Flames are likely going to have a few opportunities they won’t be able to convert on. Eddie Lack will likely start for the Canucks as Luongo is still out with his ankle injury. Lack is 8-6-3 on the season with a 2.18 GAA (8th) and a .922 SV% (13th). Karri Ramo is the confirmed starter for the Flames and has gone 8-9-3 with a 2.80 GAA and a .903 SV%. The Flames have had 23 games go over the total this season, while 25 have stayed under, and the Canucks have kept 27 games under the total while only 15 of them managed to go over. These two clubs met back on December 29th which resulted in a 2-0 Canucks victory. We will take the UNDER in Vancouver for a generous price.

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