January 14 2014 Expert NHL Picks

January 14 2014 Expert NHL Picks

Edmonton Oilers @ Dallas Stars: OILERS 2.54
The Dallas Stars are struggling to find wins as of late, losing 6 games in a row (3 of those losses coming at Home), were outscored 26-12 in those 6 losses, and have lost 7 of their last 10 games overall. The Edmonton Oilers have managed to pull together 4 wins in their last 10 games, which includes a 4-3 victory over the Pittsburgh Penguins, a 6-2 win over the Jets, and a 2-0 shutout against the struggling Calgary Flames. The Dallas defense is ranked 25th overall, allowing 3.00 goals against per game, while the Oilers are dead last in the NHL allowing 3.48 goals against per game. The Stars defense has crashed recently, having allowed 3.40 goals against per game over their last 10 games, which puts them right on par with Edmontons overall defense. The Oilers offense has picked up quite a bit as of late, scoring 3.10 goals per game over their last 10 games which is a significant improvement for the Edmonton club as they are scoring just 2.58 goals per game overall. The Oilers have the Stars beat on the special teams, as the Oilers have a 18.1 PP% (16th overall), and have maintained a 21.9% success rate on the power play over their last 10 games, while the Stars power play is effective only 12.4% of the time; the 2nd worst power play in the League. The Dallas power play has dropped to 16.7% over their last 10 games, while their penalty kill was just 72.4%, and if this wasn’t bad enough for the Stars they have a terrible 7.5% success rate on the power play when playing at Home. The Edmonton penalty kill ranks 20th overall at 80.1%, while the Stars are slightly behind at 80.0% (21st). The Stars have had one day to rest since their 2-4 loss to the New York Islanders, and are winless in their last 4 games playing on one days rest. The Edmonton Oilers have had better recent success than the Stars have, as their offense has picked up while the Stars offense and defense have been underperforming, resulting in 6 straight losses for the Dallas club. At this price the Oilers provide great value for us, and we will look for them to defeat the struggling stars tonight in Dallas.
 

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