January 10 2013 Expert NHL Picks

January 10 2013 Expert NHL Picks

We cashed an easy winner on the Blues puck line last night as they dominated the Flames 5-0. The Coyotes were tied 1-1 heading into the 3rd, but allowed the Wild to score 3 goals in the 3rd period losing the Coyotes regulation wager, although the Yotes managed 11 more shots on goal than the Wild did, giving the wild yet another win they probably didn’t deserve. We finished the night +1.26 units.

(4 Units) Pittsburgh Penguins @ Edmonton Oilers: OVER 5.5 Goals 1.87

*Risk: 4 Units | Win: 3.48 Units (Members Only Pick)*

The Pittsburgh Penguins are the 4th highest scoring team in the NHL as of today, scoring 3.18 goals per game overall. We’ve seen the Penguins offense score 3.70 goals per game over their last 10 games. Something unusual has happened to the Penguins lately though: they’ve allowed 3.20 goals against per game over their last 10 games, which isn’t the norm for Pittsburgh, as their defense ranks 8th overall allowing 2.38 GA/G. There has been a lot of goals put up on the board in recent Penguins games, as we’ve witnessed them beat the Canucks by a score of 5-4 (Jan 7), the Jets by a score of 6-5 (Jan 5), the Rangers in a 5-2 victory (Jan 3). That isn’t where the over trend stops though. The Penguins have had 8 of their last 10 games go over the total, and have scored 4 or more goals in all 8 of those games (5,6,5,5,4,4,5,4). The Pittsburgh offense put 16 goals on the board for themselves in just 3 games, and average of 5.33 goals per game, while allowing 11 goals in those 3 games, an average of 3.66 goals against per game. The Edmonton Oilers have had 6 games in a row go over the total, and 9 out of their last 10 games. The Edmonton defense has allowed 3.70 goals against per game in those 10 games, while managing to score 2.60 goals per game. The Oilers still allow the most goals of any team in the League with 3.46 goals against per game. Overall this season, the Oilers have scored an average of 2.54 goals per game. The Penguins have the 2nd best power play in the NHL that converts 25.7% of the time, while the Oilers have the 19th place penalty kill that can stop just 80.2% of their opponents power plays successfully. The Oilers penalty kill has been terrible across their last 10 games, a weak 74.3%. The Edmonton Club also takes more penalties than the Penguins do. The Pittsburgh offense is not they kind of offense you want to face while being down a man.The Oilers Home penalty kill has been successful just 77.1% of the time, while the Pens have an exceptional 25.3% road power play. The last 6 Oilers games at Rexall have all gone over the total, and 9 of the last 10 games overall have gone over. Scoring has increased slightly for the Oilers over their L10 games, scoring 2.60 G/G in that span. Crosby has put 11 points on the board in his 6 game point streak, and still leads the NHL in points with 65 points. Jeff Zatkoff (7-2-0, 2.52 GAA, .910 SV%) may start for the Penguins tonight considering they are facing a weak Oilers club and will likely give Fleury a break. Ilya Bryzgalov is probable for the Oilers. Bryz has gone 3-6-2 this season, with a 3.20 GAA and a .905 SV%. All signs point to the OVER tonight in Edmonton and we will look to add another 3.48 units to our bankroll tonight with a winner on this over.

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